The 2026 wildfire season has started slowly, with fewer fires burning across the country than usual. However, government officials caution that the situation could worsen as summer progresses.
During a technical briefing on Thursday, a government official mentioned that despite the current low activity, there is a potential for significant wildfire activity nationwide in the coming months. While not expected to reach the record-breaking levels seen in 2023 and 2025, above-average conditions are anticipated.
The extent of wildfire risk hinges on upcoming weather patterns, and if the predicted above-average temperatures materialize, British Columbia faces the highest risk, particularly in July. Southern Ontario and Quebec follow with the second-highest wildfire risk, expected to peak in June.
So far, only about 18,000 hectares of forest have been affected by wildfires, significantly lower than the 10-year average of 519,000 hectares at this time of year. Despite this, officials cautioned that the devastating wildfire seasons of 2023 and 2025 have elevated national averages to new levels.
Presently, there are 65 active wildfires in Canada, with six labeled as out of control. The National Preparedness Level is at one, the lowest on the scale, indicating that all regions can manage wildfires independently without federal assistance.
The recent addition of 10 new firefighting aircraft will bolster Canada’s ability to respond to fires if warm and stormy weather conditions materialize. Enhanced coordination between federal and provincial wildfire management authorities is aiding in proactive planning for potential emergencies.
Minister of Emergency Management Eleanor Olszewski highlighted the importance of advanced preparation and close coordination between government bodies. Despite concerns over a strong El Niño predicted to start in June or July, bringing warmer temperatures, officials do not foresee a significant impact on the wildfire season.